Thursday, April 2, 2020

COVID-10 Scorecard 4-2






The Case Fatality Rate is at 5.09% and the percent of serious or critical active cases is 5%.

Assumptions using the numbers: In the USA there are 201,366 active cases. Since 5% of active cases are serious or critical they would likely require admittance to an intensive care unit. This means at minimum there are 10,069 COVID-19 patients.

On March 18 the American Hospital Association stated a CDC report which claimed from Feb 12 and March 16 21% to 31% of US COVID-19 patients required hospitalization and 5% to 12% were admitted to intensive care. Based on todays number of active cases (201,366) provided the CDC reported percentages remain the same 42,289 - 62,424 patients require hospitalization and 10, 069 - 24,164 need intensive care.

The actual number of hospitalizations today are too vague to determine how many patients are in the hospital.

The US has 5,198 community hospitals There is a total of 924,107 hospital staffed beds. The number of Intensive Care Beds is based on type of intensive care. The breakdown of intensive care beds:

Type of Intensive Care          Number of Beds
   Medical-Surgical                         55,663
   Cardiac                                        15,160
   Neonatal                                      22,721
   Pediatric                                        5,115
   Burn Care                                     1,198
   Other                                            7,419

These are gross numbers and account for the entire US. They do not reflect each region, state and community hospitals where overcrowding and bed shortages will occur. Also these numbers only reflect beds not necessary equipment like surgical masks and ventilators.

The bottom line is be safe. Take care of yourself. Eat properly. Get plenty of sleep. Stay hydrated and stay away.

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